Author : Rohan yashraj gupta, satya sai mudigonda, pallav kumar baruah, phani krishna kandala
Keyword : Smote, gbm, evt, classification, fraud, motor insurance, actuarial models, machine learning
Subject : Business
Article Type : Original article (research)
DOI : 10.1109/incces47820.2019.9167733
Article File : Full Text PDF
Abstract : Machine Learning provides greater ability to identify in-depth patterns in the data that are normally invisible or difficult to identify using other methods. One of the major application of it is seen in insurance claims fraud detection, which is a classification problem. In this work, Gradient Boosting Method (GBM) was used to create a predictive model which was applied to motor insurance claims data. The dataset was highly imbalanced; this problem was addressed using Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE). The results achieved were remarkable with F1 score around 98% and the accuracy 99%. This was cross-validated by industry experts using extreme value theory (EVT), an actuarial model. The predictive model presented in this paper can be customized, tested and extended to other lines of business.
Article by : Rohan Yashraj Gupta
Article add date : 2021-01-24
How to cite : Rohan yashraj gupta, satya sai mudigonda, pallav kumar baruah, phani krishna kandala. (2021-January-24). Implementation of a predictive model for fraud detection in motor insurance using gradient boosting method and validation with actuarial models. retrieved from https://openacessjournal.com/abstract/594